Learning the book: Thinking in Bets

Thinking in Bets

Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts

Author: Annie Duke
ISBN: 9780735216372
Publisher: Penguin
Published Date: 2019-05-07

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Question

In 'Thinking in Bets', Annie Duke explains that people often commit the fallacy of 'sure things' when they:

Base their decisions on flawed assumptions Assume a situation is predictable and certain Rely on intuition rather than data Prioritize short-term gains over long-term success

Source: Dolphin Mixtral MoE -